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The GM Bankruptcy Debate

from WSJ.com: Economics Blog,

The White House reiterated Monday that auto makers should receive funds

from the Department of Energy’s existing $25 billion loan program, but not an

additional $25 billion from the government’s financial-market rescue package. Below, how editorial pages and op-ed writers see a potential bailout.

Michael E. Levine writes in The Wall Street Journal: GM has about 7,000 dealers. Toyota has fewer than 1,500. Honda has about 1,000. … GM knows it needs fewer brands and dealers, but the dealers are protected from termination by state laws. This makes eliminating them and the brands they sell very expensive. … And therein lies the problem: The cost of terminating dealers is only a fraction of what it would cost to rebuild GM to become a company sized and marketed appropriately for its market share. Contracts would have to be bought out. The company would have to shed many of its fixed obligations. Some obligations will be impossible to cut by voluntary agreement. GM will run out of cash and out of time. … Federal law provides a way out of the web: reorganization under Chapter 11 of the bankruptcy code.

Eric Torbenson in the New York Post: Indeed, there are signs the auto bailout cake may already be baked, and this week is merely the frosting. … There’s some hope, though, that meaningful conditions will be hitched to the bailout. Detroit’s stubborn resistance to higher mileage standards might have to fall. Congress may limit salaries and bonuses and perhaps help guarantee some return on the money if, as many fear, the cash simply delays an inevitable slide to what would become a full-employment act for lawyers and restructuring experts - you might even think of it as a minor stimulus package for New York law firms.

Detroit News editorial: We worry that Congress may want to tie far more strings to the assistance it provides the automakers than it did to the money it handed the financial industry. … It’s also been suggested that the government will take an equity stake in the companies and demand seats on their boards. That would almost certainly restrict the ability of the automakers to shut plants and lay off workers. For all practical purposes, these moves would nationalize the auto industry and make its return to profitable, independent operation even more of a long shot. Presumably, an automotive “czar” could manage all of this meddling. If that’s the case, Detroit’s automakers might want to rethink whether it’s safer for them to be in the bankruptcy courts than beneath the oppressive wing of a federal overseer.

Detroit Free Press editorial: Frankly, there isn’t a responsible debate to be had over whether to help the auto industry, only about how and how much. … Ultimately, the question may be whether a proposed $25 billion in loans will be enough to get the automakers through to better times, which should arrive sometime in 2010 thanks to massive restructuring, cost cutting and promising new models due in showrooms about the time the national economy is starting to pick up.

1 comments so far.
 
Let them sell their way out of this mess - here's how by A_C_R [Apprentice Distiller], 1 month ago
It looks like the folks in DC are hell-bent to give the stimulus package another try seeing as the first one didn't have any real effect. This time it's the car industry. While the sanity of blowing cash around and running the national debt up even further is questionable; it seems inevitable - so<b> this time let's target unemployment, create AMERICAN jobs and pump up the economy all at one time.</b> <b>Consider the following:</b> Manufacturing costs of motor vehicles are 65% labor (i.e.: W-2 income), that's not all direct but due to suppliers. GM alone has over <b>1300</b> suppliers. (That's a lot of jobs!) 1 in 10 Americans makes all or part of their income due to the automobile industry. Money turns over 5 times in a year. Thus a vehicle with a manufacturing cost of 20K produces 13,500 in W-2 income which in turn becomes a total of 65K in 12 months due to the 5 turnovers. (This isn't magic, it's simply how the economy works.) Our domestic car makers are saddled with legacy costs, most of which will reduce dramatically in 2010 due to contract changes. They need to survive to get there. Our own over-zealous government with a virtual alphabet soup of regulatory agencies has been no help either. Foreign competitors have worked off-shore collectively to meet various US gov't. imposed emission and safety standards, thus dramatically reducing those R&D costs. American car companies are prohibited from that by our FTC. <b>Make no mistake</b>; it’s no surprise that <i>once again government has been a <b>major part of the problem.</I></b> <b>Here's the solution.</b> Instead of either shipping cases of cash off to car makers; or sending us all another check: Send out a voucher for say $1,000 good on a motor vehicle for the percentage of the vehicle that's domestic. (Civic = 70% Ford Explorer=80%) Let those not interested in a new car sell or give away their vouchers (Ebay would be loaded with them in no time flat) and those that are so inclined can use as many as they can get their hands on up to the full MSRP of the vehicle. This would bail out the car industry without giving them a dime directly Further it would reduce the overall age of the nation’s cars which would in turn; <b> increase overall fuel economy </b> & <b>decrease pollution.</b> <b>Strengthen the dollar!</b> Since vehicles with a higher domestic content would be moving better this would reduce our imports, strengthening our dollar which would in turn further reduce what we pay for anything imported ...<b>like gas!</b> <b>Jobs</b> Instead of simply bailing out a few big companies, this would cause such a run that it would create employment throughout the industry affecting over 1300 suppliers and their workers. That would give the economy good swift kick right where it needs one! <b>Pays for itself!</b> Since money turns over 5 times, and the vouchers are only good for the domestic content of the vehicle, every dime would be spent in the United States creating taxable income. What is the income tax on 65,000 anyway? (Remember? 20K manufacturing cost = $13,500 W-2 income x 5 = $65,000) <A href="http://authentic-connecticut-republican.blogspot.com/2008/11/another-stimulus-package.html"><i>Another Stimulus Package?</a></i> I'm sure you'll agree that this makes more sense than simply sending out checks; many of which will be used to buy new flat screen TV's usually made in Malaysia or some such place.